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Post Info TOPIC: Gameday 8 - October 28, 2016


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Gameday 8 - October 28, 2016

Blindsides vs. The Ales

Injured Reserve vs. BlackDevilHawks

KC Reserves vs. Lethbridge Golden Seals

Iowa Crop Dusters vs. Broadway

Whalers vs. Royal Oak Fearsome Beavers

Newmarket Hurricanes vs. asdfjkl;

Toronto Rocket vs. Lost Cause

Tulane Flyers vs. Blindsides

 

Rare Friday game boys, get those lineups in. Big battle between the Rocket and the Lost Cause this evening, which I of course have no goalies for.



-- Edited by Adam on Friday 28th of October 2016 07:12:03 AM

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I always forget...am I allowed to start 5 defensemen if I make a defenseman my OT player? Or is it four D no matter what?

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4 D max

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ideal day to have a double header.

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Adam wrote:

I always forget...am I allowed to start 5 defensemen if I make a defenseman my OT player? Or is it four D no matter what?


 No.

4 D, 6 F max no matter what.



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My lineup is not great.

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No goalies :(

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Zach6668 wrote:

My lineup is not great.


 Who made this schedule? Oh right, you. biggrin

 

I'm going to need heroic efforts from Johnny Hockey and Mackinnon to pull this one out.



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Bye for Arp. Luckbox.

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Adam wrote:
Zach6668 wrote:

My lineup is not great.


 Who made this schedule? Oh right, you. biggrin

 

I'm going to need heroic efforts from Johnny Hockey and Mackinnon to pull this one out.


 Well, good luck. I need Skinner I play, badly. 



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Ooooh at least I have goalies!

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Adam wrote:

I always forget...am I allowed to start 5 defensemen if I make a defenseman my OT player? Or is it four D no matter what?


In the past I have wondered, to myself, about changing the yahoo setup to be 5 forwards, 4 defence and a flex for simplicity.



-- Edited by Fenxis on Friday 28th of October 2016 05:56:20 PM

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**** lineup, no goalies. Great success.

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Skinner from Rask is going to be this year's version of Marchand from Bergeron for me. Dynamic duo who play a million FCHL games.

Rask is maybe one of the more surprising draft picks of mine who has actually made it. Never ever really hyped, and just kind of gradually became a top line forward. He still has to take a step forward in terms of production to get over the 0.500 hump, but he's off to a hell of a start (4+4 in 6.33 games).

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Miraculously, Rask did NOT get an assist on Skinner's second goal.

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Update: Looked like Skinner scored from Rask again, but it hit Bickell's loose jersey, so it's just Skinner and Rask assists. Nbd.

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It's so wonderful that Skinner was a gametime decision to even play, and then goes out there and lights the FCHL world on fire.

Wonderful, I tell you.

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Omg...I have a chance!

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Zach6668 wrote:

Update: Looked like Skinner scored from Rask again, but it hit Bickell's loose jersey, so it's just Skinner and Rask assists. Nbd.


 Except that 5000 Hurricane fans lost there caps for nothing from opening night cap give away



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John, give me the lowdown on Vesey. How has he looked so far? Projections for the season?

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Boy, Hamilton with 2.5 already too. Boys came to play. Looking to put the poor showing last night behind then and take it to a hated division rival. That's heart.

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Did RNH really fall so far down Arp's depth chart that Silfverberg (a gift from me) gets in ahead of him?

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I'm pretty confident that Steve is going to win today.

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Zach6668 wrote:

John, give me the lowdown on Vesey. How has he looked so far? Projections for the season?


 I like what I see. He has been creative and has skill. He is a better player than Hayes who came to the Rangers in a similar way a couple of years back

I would say 25 goals would not be shocking



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That's good to hear. Farm decisions looming in the AHL.

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Looks like a full miss from Jeff tonight against me.

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Yeah lol. I have been hesitant to set lineups far out due to no numbers yet. Uhh, probably going to go ahead and not make that mistake again.

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That's ok. Jeff's so good he can afford to light wins on fire.

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Gameday 8 - October 28, 2016

Blindsides (-1.5) vs. The Ales 1.5

Injured Reserve (-0.5) vs. BlackDevilHawks (-1.0)

KC Reserves (-1.0) vs. Lethbridge Golden Seals 0.0

Iowa Crop Dusters 2.5 vs. Broadway 3.0

Whalers 1.5 vs. Royal Oak Fearsome Beavers 4.0

Newmarket Hurricanes (-2.0) vs. asdfjkl; (-1.0)

Toronto Rocket 4.5 vs. Lost Cause 0.5

Tulane Flyers 0.5 vs. Blindsides (-1.5)



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you did it Steve

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Steve Steve Steve Steve!

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Double headers on 6 game nights are ****. Any way of preventing that next season?

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rinswun wrote:

Double headers on 6 game nights are ****. Any way of preventing that next season?


 No double headers.



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That was my choice but I understand democracy. Maybe given the increase in games played due to double headers we can just eliminate six game nights instead?

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asdf with another bye week

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I'm annoyed with myself. My team is not that good.

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All because I got forced into going to this god damn Halloween party for my girlfriend, where I got cornered into talking investments most of the night. ****.

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Playoff push starts now!

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We need to right this ship and stop the bleeding.

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rinswun wrote:

That was my choice but I understand democracy. Maybe given the increase in games played due to double headers we can just eliminate six game nights instead?


Well, no, because we still need to have 15-game blocks to balance the number of double headers. I mean, I guess there's nothing to stop us from having more than one team have a double header on a single night. But it would be a tiny pain to schedule and I crave symmetry dammit. 

I don't really know what's inherently unfair about having a DH on a 6-game night though. Your opponents only have 12 NHL teams to draw players from too.

It's all entirely random. You could maybe just as easily face two teams without goalies while you have your best lineup. 

One thing I can ensure, though, is next year I can release the schedule as early as possible and if you have short DH nights you can maybe target different players? Tiny help, I guess. 



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Jay wrote:

asdf with another bye week


 You're my bae



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I don't think it's unfair in any way, it's just less fun to play two games on a short night. I'd rather eliminate 6 game nights full stop and go down to a 60 game schedule personally.

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rinswun wrote:

I don't think it's unfair in any way, it's just less fun to play two games on a short night. I'd rather eliminate 6 game nights full stop and go down to a 60 game schedule personally.


Interesting.

I don't like the idea of playing 20% fewer games.

I don't really understand what makes a 6-game night less fun than a 7-game night or a 12-game night, though.  I think they're all fun.



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Ugh, as luck would have it, Ollie, you've got another 6-game double header coming up on Nov 27.

asdfjkl; x2, KC Reserves, Hurricanes, and Whalers have the other 5.

Remember, this was all entirely random. Surprised two teams got them twice.

We only play 7 6-game nights, fwiw.

And there are 10 7-game nights, 7 8-game nights, 7 9-game nights, 12 10-game nights, 11 11-game nights, 14 12-game nights, 6 13-game nights, 1 14-game night, and zero 15-game nights.

59% of our schedule occurs on 10+ game nights.

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Ffs

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Took me a while to remember how to do math, but I think the following is correct:

 

 

I tried to work out the odds of having all 5 doubleheaders avoid 6-game nights.

  • You play one double header in each block of 15 game nights.
  • There are 5 15-game blocks, so you get 5 doubleheaders over the course of a 75-night regular season.
  • There are 7 6-game nights on the schedule, out of the 75 game nights.

Assumptions:

  • 6-game nights are randomly distributed
  • Double headers are randomly distributed within the 15-game blocks.

Given that we have one double header in each 15 game block, the odds of that particular game being a 6-game night is 7/75.  So the odds of it not being on a 6-game night are 68/75.  The odds of going all 5 double headers without having a 6-game night, then, is (68/75)^5.  Right?  So..... [calculator noises]... 61.27%.  

 

Alternatively, the odds of having exactly ONE double header fall on a 6-game night would be 7/75*(68/75)^4... 6.3%

 

Further, the odds of having exactly TWO double headers that fall on 6-game nights would be... 7/75*7/75*(68/75)^3.... 0.65%. I'm less sure about this one being right, but I think it checks out too.  

 

The odds of having 2 or more, would just be just under 0.9% total, I think.

 



Mathletes, does this check out?



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Ffs

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Pretty accurate reflection of how I'm running in 2016!

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