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Zach6668 · Guru

Round 1, Game 1 - March 1, 2018

Zach6668 · Guru

Note, because of a glitch in the data, recently traded players only register as being on their new team once they've played a game, so these could be a little off. May be able to update later. Injuries are sort of accounted for. Anyways...

First round predictions:

Seals vs Reserves - Seals in 5

Bergeron injury hurts the IR in a big way. With him, I think the IR would have had a serious chance of beating the Seals. However, instead, the IR don't have an edge in any of the 7 games. Seals have 2 biggish edges in games 2 and 3 and a huge edge in game 6. Game 7 is the closest of the series, so if it gets there, it's a coin flip, but it's really unlikely. IR would need to win both close-ish games and win one as a big dog.

Rockets vs Dusters - Rockets in 5

Somehow, the Dusters seem to be the weakest team in the first round. The closest they get to the Rockets in any game is 0.5 points in game 3. The rest of the first 5 games have the Rockets with edges of 1.5, 2.4, 2.0, 2.2. Odds might be closer to this being a sweep, but the Dusters have the talent to win at least one game here.

KCR vs Lost Cause - KCR in 6

I've only got the LC as a favorite in one game, game one, and it's only an edge of 0.12. Essentially a coin flip. Bigger edges go to the KCRs, with edges of 1.0 and 0.8 in games 2 and 3. The edges aren't so big that they're insurmountable, though. This assumes Kucherov is good to go, too, btw. If he's out for a week, it could be a different story. Anyways, KCR has the edge here, but it's not as massive as the two series above. It could probably go either way, but my "model" leans heavily towards the faves, so no reason to deviate.

Whalers vs BlackDevilHawks - Whalers in 5

Though one would think this would be a closer series when looking at the standings, the truth is, the Whalers have the best team in the playoffs. Whalers have advantages of 2.2, 2.8, 0.2, 2.6, 1.2, 1.3, and 1.3. Only one toss up in the bunch, so lets give it to BDH, but the other games, the edges are just too big. We get a little closer as the series goes on, but this series should start 2-0, and that'll take too much to get over for BDH. Certainly capable of winning a couple of the games with a 1-goal edge, but not sure they can do it 3 times, plus win the toss up.

-- Edited by Zach6668 on Thursday 1st of March 2018 12:48:47 AM

Zach6668 · Guru

Exciting times. My first title defense begins tonight!

GOCUBSGO · Guru

I'm actually not surprised at all. Strip away my top forwards and Ghost/Sergachev, and what you are left with is a lack of depth, underwhelming Dmen, and terrible goaltending/goalie coverage.

A sweep by the Rockets is definitely a possibility. If McDavid/Draisaitl get hot, I may be able to win a game or two.

Adam · Guru

I tallied up the total goals for Jeff's lineup tonight vs mine in the last two weeks, and he's got me +41 to +30. Going to have to get a little lucky here, which is historically not a Lost Cause strong suit.

MLP · Guru

GOCUBSGO wrote:
terrible goaltending/goalie coverage.

HEY, its not that bad!

Broadway · Guru

AWESOME. This thread delivers

Me and Biatch for the world. The matchup means more than the FCHL finals. Lets go

Broadway · Guru

Do we reset keepers every year in Yahoo?

If so, why don't we just pickup up our farmies as free agents that we want to use and still use Yahoo for lineups?

Broadway · Guru

Jay wrote:
Omg. Biatch just mind tricked me. I could've taken the bye, lol

Jedi mind tricks all around

Or is it a Biatch/Steve conspiracy

SBriand · Guru

Because if you drop someone to make room for a farmie and you need that guy back in your lineup he's now on waivers at yahoo for 3 days

Broadway · Guru

SBriand wrote:
Because if you drop someone to make room for a farmie and you need that guy back in your lineup he's now on waivers at yahoo for 3 days

OK

It won't make much of a difference. Most of my NHL farm guys have been called up.

Don't I look like a dumbass

Zach6668 · Guru

You guys in the MDG Memorial can do whatever with your lineups on Yahoo, so long as you are all ok with it. I have to re-enter the lineups every year. I've never figured out how to roll the keepers over.

Broadway · Guru

OK. For my lineups, Im going to use Yahoo

SBriand · Guru

I'll be writing them down as I can't drop 4 active players to make room for 4 farm guys.

rinswun · Guru

Same as Steve. I'll just update my scores in here. I feel like getting the farmies some experience on the big club is going to be huge for the Blindsides come next season.

Broadway · Guru

Chirs Tierney will get the start tonight. Need to find out if his good play this year holds up under the FCHL pressure

I agree with Ollie

This a good time to find if the youngins have what it takes

-- Edited by Broadway on Thursday 1st of March 2018 01:34:37 PM

-- Edited by Broadway on Thursday 1st of March 2018 03:37:46 PM

rich · Overselling players since 1993

We're flying Dennis Malgins family in for game 4.

Broadway · Guru

rich wrote:
We're flying Dennis Malgins family in for game 4.

Who?

Adam · Guru

Broadway wrote:
rich wrote:
We're flying Dennis Malgins family in for game 4.
Who?

He's that guy.

rich · Overselling players since 1993

Broadway wrote:
rich wrote:
We're flying Dennis Malgins family in for game 4.
Who?

Just a kid whose dream the Ales are helping fulfill.

rich · Overselling players since 1993

Adam wrote:
Broadway wrote:
rich wrote:
We're flying Dennis Malgins family in for game 4.
Who?
He's that guy.

You've hit your rude comment quota for the day.

Adam · Guru

rich wrote:
Adam wrote:
Broadway wrote:
rich wrote:
We're flying Dennis Malgins family in for game 4.
Who?
He's that guy.
You've hit your rude comment quota for the day.

Probably the week.

jeff · Guru

My team is injured af. I was expecting Adam to murder me.

Adam · Guru

jeff wrote:
My team is injured af. I was expecting Adam to murder me.

Should be a good match, good luck.

Dubey · Guru

Noted Seal killer Justin Williams finding a way to contribute to the cause even when I’m not playing against him. Scored a goal against my goalies already tonight.

Dubey · Guru

2 goals now. This guy needs to beat it

Zach6668 · Guru

Hope nobody started Pittsburgh goalies.

MLP · Guru

Dubey wrote:
Noted Seal killer Justin Williams finding a way to contribute to the cause even when I’m not playing against him. Scored a goal against my goalies already tonight.

Imagine how you would feel if you were actually playing against him+his 2 goals.

And the 2 Bruins who have 5 goals.

Yup, 7 goals for Davey already. Sure, okay

Jay · Turning Back the Clock

But having two guys from the same team is so stupid.

rich · Overselling players since 1993

**** me I accidently didn't start Dadonov.

Zach6668 · Guru

Nail-biter for me and Josh.

I managed to get out of the Oilers game with McDavid and Draisaitl only picking up 2.5...

So it's down to Pavelski for the Dusters, and my goalies (LAK), Panarin, and Vlasic.

I've got a 1 goal lead, and win in OT. So he needs to gain 1.5.

... as I write this, Vlasic scores... but I don't know whether to believe the Score alert or not, as they just tricked me by telling me Goligoski scored a minute ago, when he apparently did not. If it stands, he needs 2.5.

Zach6668 · Guru

IR still in the hunt in his game. Down by half a goal. Atkinson and Carter left. Needs 1.0.

Zach6668 · Guru

BlackDevilHawks and Lost Cause are going to pull game one (relative) upsets.

Zach6668 · Guru

Round 1, Game 1 - March 1, 2018

FCHL Playoffs

Round 1: March 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 10

(1) Lethbridge Golden Seals vs. (8) Injured Reserve
Lethbridge Golden Seals lead series 1-0

Game 1: Lethbridge Golden Seals 3.0 OT vs. Injured Reserve 3.0
Game 2: Lethbridge Golden Seals vs. Injured Reserve
Game 3: Lethbridge Golden Seals vs. Injured Reserve
Game 4: Lethbridge Golden Seals vs. Injured Reserve
*Game 5: Lethbridge Golden Seals vs. Injured Reserve
*Game 6: Lethbridge Golden Seals vs. Injured Reserve
*Game 7: Lethbridge Golden Seals vs. Injured Reserve

(2) Toronto Rocket vs. (7) Iowa Crop Dusters
Toronto Rocket lead series 1-0

Game 1: Toronto Rocket 4.5 vs. Iowa Crop Dusters 2.5
Game 2: Toronto Rocket vs. Iowa Crop Dusters
Game 3: Toronto Rocket vs. Iowa Crop Dusters
Game 4: Toronto Rocket vs. Iowa Crop Dusters
*Game 5: Toronto Rocket vs. Iowa Crop Dusters
*Game 6: Toronto Rocket vs. Iowa Crop Dusters
*Game 7: Toronto Rocket vs. Iowa Crop Dusters

(3) KC Reserves vs. (6) Lost Cause
Lost Cause lead series 1-0

Game 1: KC Reserves 0.5 vs. Lost Cause 5.0
Game 2: KC Reserves vs. Lost Cause
Game 3: KC Reserves vs. Lost Cause
Game 4: KC Reserves vs. Lost Cause
*Game 5: KC Reserves vs. Lost Cause
*Game 6: KC Reserves vs. Lost Cause
*Game 7: KC Reserves vs. Lost Cause

(4) Whalers vs. (5) BlackDevilHawks
BlackDevilHawks lead series 1-0

Game 1: Whalers 3.0 vs. BlackDevilHawks 7.5
Game 2: Whalers vs. BlackDevilHawks
Game 3: Whalers vs. BlackDevilHawks
Game 4: Whalers vs. BlackDevilHawks
*Game 5: Whalers vs. BlackDevilHawks
*Game 6: Whalers vs. BlackDevilHawks
*Game 7: Whalers vs. BlackDevilHawks

MrDannyG Memorial Tournament

** new for 2018 - high seeds pick their opponent in the first two rounds (including the bye option in round 1) **

(9) asdfjkl; vs. (10) Broadway
Broadway lead series 1-0

Game 1: asdfjkl; 2.5 vs. Broadway 3.5
Game 2: asdfjkl; vs. Broadway
Game 3: asdfjkl; vs. Broadway
Game 4: asdfjkl; vs. Broadway
*Game 5: asdfjkl; vs. Broadway
*Game 6: asdfjkl; vs. Broadway
*Game 7: asdfjkl; vs. Broadway

(11) Newmarket Hurricanes vs. (13) Tulane Flyers
Newmarket Hurricanes lead series 1-0

Game 1: Newmarket Hurricanes 4.5 vs. Tulane Flyers (-0.5)
Game 2: Newmarket Hurricanes vs. Tulane Flyers
Game 3: Newmarket Hurricanes vs. Tulane Flyers
Game 4: Newmarket Hurricanes vs. Tulane Flyers
*Game 5: Newmarket Hurricanes vs. Tulane Flyers
*Game 6: Newmarket Hurricanes vs. Tulane Flyers
*Game 7: Newmarket Hurricanes vs. Tulane Flyers

(12) Royal Oak Fearsome Beavers
Bye

(14) Blindsides vs. (15) The Ales
The Ales lead series 1-0

Game 1: Blindsides (-1.0) vs. The Ales 0.5
Game 2: Blindsides vs. The Ales
Game 3: Blindsides vs. The Ales
Game 4: Blindsides vs. The Ales
*Game 5: Blindsides vs. The Ales
*Game 6: Blindsides vs. The Ales
*Game 7: Blindsides vs. The Ales

* - if necessary

Zach6668 · Guru

I'll update the MDGMemorial when Rich (?) does the complicated farmy scores.

GOCUBSGO · Guru

gg Zachary

Zach6668 · Guru

gg sir. Made it interesting. When McDavid and Draisatl and Pavelski all scored early in their games, I thought it was to be your night.

Zach6668 · Guru

Duane was *this* close to an upset. Got that Carter goal he needed, but his goalies gave up a meaningless goal in what was then a 7-1 game. Loses in OT. Brutal. If you're going to beat a #1 seed, you've got to be on the right side of luck in those scenarios.

rich · Overselling players since 1993

I won't be able to tabulate until tomorrow night.

rinswun · Guru

rinswun wrote:
We going with the farmies then? I like it! My line up:

1. Granlund 0
2. DeBrincat 0.5
3. Neiderreiter 0.5
4. Hornqvist 0.5
5. Meier 1
6. Dubois 0
7. Hanafin 0
8. Seabrook 0
9. Greene 0
10. Petrovic 0.5

Pitts -4

Total: -1

SBriand · Guru

Biatch's bitches 2.5 Johns Showgirls 3.5

Ollies Blokes (-1 ) Rich's Beer Chuggers .5

Jay's New Grocery Tsunamis 4.5 Tulane indifferents (-.5)

rich · Overselling players since 1993

Thanks Steve!

rich · Overselling players since 1993

Ollie looks like I win round 1 of this tickle fight.

rinswun · Guru

Nice work Steve.

Rich, that -4 from the Pens goalies really sums up the Blindsides this year